Part of what gives Apple’s products such impulsive appeal to early adopters is the extreme secrecy that predictably surrounds the way in which they’re introduced. Very rarely do we get a glimpse of things ahead of time, as with the iPhone 4. And despite the endless online speculation prior to new releases, the features of the final product are always a surprise.
That’s why today, I’d like to take a look at two very prevalent rumors circulating about up-and-coming product releases- let me begin by discussing the likelihood of a 7″ iPad model.
In short, there’s almost no chance of a 7″ model appearing in the near future. Steve Jobs, celebrated Apple CEO, recently referred to 7″ tablets as “dead on arrival” at Apple’s fourth quarter financial results conference call. He seems to believe that the seven inch form factor is “too small”. In some respect, he’s right; if you take an iPad and cut it in half, the remaining screen size is about a 7″ display. See the full context of the quote below:
Commenting on avalanche of tablets heading to market; just a handful of credible entrants. Almost all use 7″ screen, compared to iPad at nearly 10″ screen. 7″ screen is only 45% as large as iPad’s screen. Hold an iPad in portrait view and draw a horizontal line halfway down. What’s left is a 7″ screen…too small. There are clear limits to how close elements can be on the screen before users can’t touch accurately. We believe 10-inch screen is minimum necessary.
To some people, it might make sense for Apple to market an in-between product to fill the gap between the 3.5″ iPhone/iPod Touch and the 9.7″ iPad. But I have two additional reasons that it probably won’t happen.
First is the apps. What sort of applications would a 7″ version of the iPad run on? Scaled-up iPod apps, which would perform well but look no different from the low-resolution iPod versions? Or dumbed-down iPad apps, which might look nicer, but would inevitably be a drain on both performance and battery life? Quite a conundrum. It hardly makes sense for Apple to create a third, middle-of-the-road app store.
Second, and just as importantly, is that Apple is obviously still in business to make money. In the interest of their company and its shareholders, they need to protect those premium margins that continue to bear them quarter after quarter of record profits and soaring stock prices. And with a 7″ iPad, that’s much more difficult than with an iPod, iPhone or iPad.
Here’s why: if Apple did release such a product, they would be pressured to sell it at a significantly lower price than the current iPad. Not as low as the iPod Touch, but probably lower than the iPhone at its normal, non-carrier-subsidized starting price of $599 (that’s $100 higher than the base 10″ iPad). Apple can sell millions of iPhones, because the subsidy from AT&T keeps them from being prohibitively expensive to people. But they can’t offer a subsidized tablet, because a tablet doesn’t have a voice plan, so they lose the phone functionality that AT&T can charge such a huge monthly bill for.
To conclude, I don’t bet for or against Steve Jobs. He’s been known to deny the usefulness of rumored functions right up until the day he releases products that contain them. But their product lineup at the moment fits the bill for an overwhelming majority of their customers, so I would be surprised to see a 7″ iPad within the next few product cycles.
Now some good news: Verizon iPhones are NOT too good to be true! Ever since the iPhone was first released in 2007, one of its greatest criticisms has been AT&T’s service (or lack thereof). For almost as long, rumor pundits like myself have been speculating as to when, or whether, Apple might allow their revolutionary design to work on more than one network. Well, here’s one of many recent articles that thinks there’s a Verizon iPhone on the horizon for January 2011, just in time to miss the holiday shopping season.
Of course, if every AT&T subscriber with an iPhone switched to Verizon as soon as they possibly could, keep in mind that the increased network traffic might reduce the overall signal quality of everyone on Verizon’s 3G network. iPhone users engage in web browsing much more commonly than normal smartphone users. Of course, the more comprehensive coverage that Verizon offers across the country could serve to open up the iPhone option to entire new demographics.
I’ll be interested to see what happens early next year, and I know I’m not alone.
Seth